Answering Readers…

More questions from readers. The first from Cathy:

 

Cathy

Denise, Thank you for the charts on Boeings. Here is some info on Airbus that I found -Airbus Industrie was formally established as a Groupement d’Interet Economique (Economic Interest Group or GIE) on 18 December 1970.
2000 three of the four partner companies (DaimlerChrysler Aerospace, successor to Deutsche Airbus; Aérospatiale-Matra, successor to Sud-Aviation; and CASA) merged to form EADS. If this doesn’t help – I’ll keep searching but I appreciate your efforts of trying. Happy Thanksgiving to you!

Hi Cathy,

I was about to run a chart when I realized I wasn’t sure which market Airbus was traded on because I think its a European company? And if this date you gave was the start trading date or the inception date or incorporation date, so let me know what more you dig up so I can run a chart. Sorry about that for now.

Id

Dear Denise,

Thank you for your analysis and insights. In these troubled times on a lot of fronts ( financial, physical and even spiritual ) you provide clarity and hope.

I have two questions.

1 – Urban survival. In which timeframes do you see possible shortages of food and basic necessaties?
2 – When will the dollar downtrend and demise commence?

To readers of this blog, please do google “urban survival” and make some basic preparations.

Peace

Hi Id,

It’s funny to write that, it’s like I’m writing to a part of myself. Jokes aside, I’ve given this a lot of thought. I think your suggestion to google urban survival is a good one. It’s always good to be prepared. That being said, I’m not getting the feeling we are going to see the economy drive us to the point of the things our grandparents and great grandparents went through. I’m not feeling it’s going to get that bad now. I feel there is a safety net being built that will cushion the blow and we are going to have to change our ways, but its not going to get to that extreme. I asked the cards if we will see the economy drive us to extremes and the cards said very emphatically, No. That’s not to say they don’t tell of hard times, anxiety, and major changes.

However, your point about urban survival should really be taken in terms of natural disasters. I live in earthquake country. Everyone lives somewhere that could be devastated by a major flood, drought, hurricane, tornado or earthquake. And I do feel that environmental problems of that kind are going to continue to spiral out of control, and we all need to be prepared for that.

My biggest fear right now is that the economy will defocus us from the real problem, and that is the environment. It doesn’t matter how many gold bars you have hidden under your sofa if your house is floating down a river. That’s kind of the situation we’re in. Believe it or not, this crisis has helped to focus us on the big picture to some extent, but its still not big picture enough. We need to go wider, broader. We are literally going to kill this planet — leave it barren, if we continue down this path.

As a teenager (back in the 80s) I made a disturbed illustrated children’s book about these little bugs who were slowly eating away their host. Great idea for a kids book, huh? It was of course a metaphor for us killing the planet. I told a much older hippy type friend about this, and he said, “That’s just egotistical, man. The earth is so much bigger then us, it can survive anything.”

And I said, “Have you ever heard of cancer? It starts out as one cell and multiplies until it destroys everything.”

Anyway, of course he thought I was nuts way back in the 1980s when I mentioned us destroying the planet. But I could feel it, and we were and are. My worst fear is we’ve waited too long to do anything about it. We have to make this our number one priority, seriously. Once we get things back on track, if we don’t use everything and do everything possible to solve global cancer (warming sounds like a vacation) then we’re all going to parish and there won’t be any future of our race.

Wei

Hi Denise:
Great postings!
Wondering about Citicorp (c). I think you ran a chart, but I didn’t find the interpretation for it. Given recent bail outs, will it survive?
If you have time, I am wondering about US Steel (x) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold, Inc (FCX), Google (GOOG), Intel (INTC), Foster Wheeler Ltd. (FWLT), Procter & Gamble (PG), and Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation (BNI).
Many Thanks,
Wei

Hi Wei,

I didn’t have Google, Foster Wheeler, Burlington or Freeport-McMoRan in my database. And of course had multiples of the other stocks you were interested in. I’ll post them and do some analysis. In the mean time if you want me to look into those not represented, post the incorporation date or the start trading date of these company’s where they are traded and I’ll run charts on them. Here goes:

picture-15picture-16picture-17picture-19OK, I don’t know if Citicorp has officially gone under yet, but they will or they will be absorbed by another company completely by February 09 when transiting Neptune in Aquarius makes an exact square form their first house to Neptune in Scorpio in their 10th. They have been seriously deluding themselves. Also Pluto is going through the company’s 12th house and making an applying square to their Saturn in the second. They’ve been keeping secrets, and if they do get absorbed by another company, whoever takes them on will be hit with a necessary and very brutal restructuring in order to save what’s left which would take place in March of 2010. This lapse in time will probably be because the company has been hiding a lot and it will take time to sort out all the mess.

US Steel doesn’t look bad, there are some good aspects and some slightly negative things but nothing major. They may have some foreign issues, but nothing major. They will also do pretty well over this period. My grandmother used to work for US Steel when they had a manufacturing plant in Gary, Indiana. She made steel during the 30-60s. Pretty crazy, she had all sorts of scars along her arms from where she had been cut accidentally from the steel in the plant.

Intel has that critical O degrees Pluto in Libra dancing in its 11th house. It should be getting hammered in the stock market right now. But things will get better for them in late January when Pluto hits 2 Cap and trines the part of fortune in the 10th. This stock and/or company is going to go through some major changes over the next 15 years, if it can survive these changes it is going to do amazingly well and probably be one of those long term blue chip type of stocks. But its going to go through a lot.

Once Pluto stops squaring Proctor and Gamble’s Mercury in Libra at 0 degrees in the 12th house in January this company will do well. Much better then most. There are a lot of positive transits being made to both charts. I suppose they survived a Depression and a couple of recessions, so they know how to deal with down markets. They will actually do quite well throughout the next few years, which is all I looked at so…

I’m tired now. I’ll answer the rest of you all tomorrow!

Best wishes and many blessings,

Denise

KRG

Hi : Very interesting

On the prediction that India will hit Pak sites, I wonder whether this could happen thru US, becos it seems more likely that Obama will use his power to persuade Pak to let US take on the training camps etc in Pak. Don’t see India doing this unless we continue to get hit like 26/11. May be you could run a chart for US vis-a-vis Pak and see how it looks…

Truthseeker

I woke up with the feeling that the credit crisis wasnt the cause of the market crash at the end of Dec/ Jan

northernlights2008

Any thoughts on the two unresolved Senate races in Minnesota and Georgia? I think you predicted the Senate would get close to 60 seats a few weeks back. I wonder what the cards say closer to the evantual realities. Thanks!

Iris

Another question. Some of Obama’s supporters are up in arms about the people he is choosing to work in his Administration. They feel that they have been betrayed. Will the Disgruntled Dems. get over it in time or will they hold a grudge for the next 4 years?

Thanks! -)

grace43

Will Arnold Schwartzenegger be joining Obama’s cabniet? I thought when Obama said a top Republican would be on his cabniet, it would be Arnie. Now he’s picked Gates to stay on as Sec. of Defense. Since some very conservative Christians are in top level positions in the military, this seems to be a wise move aimed at keeping them calm. What’s up for the Governator after his term runs out?

Here’s his birth information: 30 July 1947, Thal, Styria, Austria (Taken from his bio on Internet Movie Database)
Birth Time: 04:10 (04:10 AM) MEDT(-1:00) (taken from Lois Rodden’s AstroDatabankhttp://www.astrodatabank.com/nm/SchwarzeneggerArnold.htm )

Thanks in advance!

PS

I sure hope he will be. After four years of having to look at Bush and Cheney, this lady would appreciate someone up there easier on the eyes. LOL

Answering Readers…

More Clarification on Working the Down Side of the Market

Thanks to reader Ftrsman who writes in with further clarification about working the down side of the market! 

ftrsman

Hey, Denise, great site, thanks so sharing so freely! Didn’t think I’d ever write in, but I have to say something about trading options. While put options are a way to make $ if something goes down, and betterdaysahead is right, technically, saying ‘limited risk with maximum potential”‘, that’s making it sound a little too good. Over 95% of regular investors lose every cent they ever put into an options contract, so their ‘limited risk’ keeps happening over and over. (The minute you buy an options contract it starts losing value, because it has an expiration date, and few non-pros understand when an option is fairly priced to begin with). Another poster is right in saying it should be left to professionals.

Right now the options market is really screwy, because people are paying for fear and the normal parameters of price/time/volatility just aren’t working (IOW, the move has to be so big, and relatively fast, before the risk/reward pays off – it’s not simple like ‘the dow goes down 5%, your option goes up 5 or 10 or 20%. ‘ ). A lot of pro options traders are staying on the sidelines because pricing is so screwed right now. Besides, any pro will tell you that a newbie who wants to trade options oughta not just take a basic course online or wherever but spend a year or more ‘paper trading’, meaning, practicing on paper, and if they start doing that right now, a year from now the ‘big move’ may be over (but the next year may give a good education). If they really want to, s/he could give some $ to a pro options trader, but you usually have to start with $50K-100K, and I don’t know if I’d be trying someone new out right now. Don’t mean to be a joykill, but don’t want to see anyone hurt. There’s nothing wrong with cash.

More Clarification on Working the Down Side of the Market

Answering Readers’ Questions…

Hi Everyone. I’m going to focus tonight on economic questions to try and give people a heads up before things go even more nuts. I will answer all other questions over the next couple of days.

The first is from Sallyy:

sallyy

Denise,

What do I/we need to know about holding on to/selling secure stocks such as Johnson & Johnson or A+ rated bank stocks of TriCounty Bank chartered on October 7, 1892 in Roachdale, IN

Hi Sallyy,

I ran a chart for both companies and will post them with analysis. BTW thank you for giving me the info on the inauguration time. I ran a chart for that and will post it tomorrow along with analysis.

picture-28And here is Johnson & Johnson, there are 2 charts one is when the company was founded, the other when it went public:

picture-27TriCounty bank looks stable. There really aren’t any problems here. They may run into some small problems in about 7 years or so, but it won’t be anything that will break them. This company will be remarkably stable throughout the crisis.

Now Johnson & Johnson: it makes it a little harder because they have 2 charts, but I’m going to focus primarily on the public chart since that would be the one investors like you have a stake in.

Pluto is going through the company’s 2nd house. So there will be some changes in the way they work, maybe shifting jobs overseas to make a greater profit, but this has already started happening. Considering how crazy the market is, this company will not see big losses for their stock holders until mid-January 2010 when transiting Pluto in the 2nd will square the company’s Neptune in the 11th. This will happen in mid-late January of 2010 until late February 2010 and then revisit this position from late mid-late May of 2010 the end of June 2010. It will again happen from late November 2010-late December 2010.  This will most likely trigger a restructuring of the company beginning in late February-early June 2011. This aspect will go back and forth that year as well, so it may take a few tries to get the leadership right. If you can hold onto this stock for a while it will do well. Its value will begin peaking in January of 2015. It will go up in value in spurts that year and then again peak in just as great, or better value for its stock holders beginning in 2019. Again it will go up and down, but do very well that year.

Carl

Hey there,

thanks so much for your insight.
Do you see the Gold Price go up in the next 3 month?

Jupiter will be conjuncting the Sun from about January 20-24. I would say during that time there should be a rise in its value as the sun rules Gold and Jupiter rules expansion and abundance. Really from about the 1/20/09-2/1/09 or there about, gold should have a spike in value.

northernlights2008

I think you’re right about Alaska. How else can the polls be off by as much as 20 points? Can you give some specifics about what might be “fishy.” You mentioned the Aleutian Chain in an earlier post and I know that the Ds down there about fell out of their chairs when the results came in. I’ve enjoyed reading your site; it has given me great comfort. Thanks

Hi Northernlights,

I haven’t had any more dreams about Alaska. But I did get from the dreams that there were a lot of people in Alaska who knew what was going on, and there were rumors going around about it. But those rumors hadn’t made it out to the public. I keep meditating on what all of it means. I feel there is something multi-layered happening here. 

Sarah Palin reminds me of an Aquarian woman (I’m also an Aquarian so it really bugs me to see a bad one) I once knew who was the president of the student body at my college. This woman was insecure and once she took the (teeny, tiny) reigns of power she went nuts, stealing money every which way she could from the Student Council fund. I knew she was up to something and ran for Treasurer the next year and uncovered her abuse.

She’d stolen thousands of dollars from a budget that wasn’t very big to begin with. And once confronted stepped down with her co-conspirator. But both of these women pretended to be very virtuous and righteous. Much like Sarah Palin. I have a feeling Sarah has a Denise who is about to bust her open. I think we are starting to see some of this coming from the McCain camp, but I have a feeling there is someone up there in Alaska who knows some very dark things about Palin and is quietly combing through the accounting and is about to burst onto the scene and get her.

I feel Palin is extremely corrupt. I wouldn’t doubt if the voting fraud had something to do with people directly involved with her or her husband. Her husband really creeps me out. There’s something sneaky about him. He never looked at the camera, it always looked like he was calculating something. He seemed up to something. There’s something wrong with that guy as much as there is with her.

patrick

If Palin runs for President in 2012, at least she has name recognition going for her… but that may not work in her favor

Patrick, I couldn’t agree more!

OK I will save these questions for tomorrow. I wanted to get to them tonight but didn’t get a chance:

 

tckal

Hi Denise: Thanks for answering my questions about Sarah Palin. Both Palin and McCain have said that they love and respect each other, is this really true or is their honeymoon over and they’re just putting on a show? Are the things that the McCain campaign aides are saying about her all true and she’s denying them because it’s embarassing to her? Also, about the dreams you’ve been having about Alaska, will the authorities or the CIA find out about this and will they be publicly exposed? Thanks

javahaaa

Back to money and such, could you run charts on Oil and Gold futures?

here are two ways to follow oil; they should have similar results :
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures started trading on 3/30/1983 on the New York Mercantile Exchange (also began on Chicago Board of Trade that day, but it no longer trades there), at either 9AM or 1030AM – prob 1030am. NYMEX symbol CL (not to be confused with the stock CL, trading on NYSE [ny stock exchange])

USO, United States Oil Fund, an exchange-traded fund, started trading 4/10/2006, NYSE, 930 AM

Similar two ways for gold, and they should look the same, too:
Commodities Exchange, Inc. (COMEX) Gold futures began trading at 1201AM on 12/31/1974, New York; COMEX and NYMEX merged in 1994 and the NYMEX symbol is GC

GLD, Spdr Gold Trust, an exchange-traded fund, began trading 11/18/2004 on the NYSE, 930AM.

I don’t know if this affects the chart, but any of these would have been “born” – created – before those dates, but the only thing that’s easily available is the day they began trading publicly.

javahaaa

Really enjoy your commentary, Denise! Do you see any recovery in the Dow or Nasdaq between now and when the tsunami begins late December? How much? Could you also run a chart for the S&P 500?

sallyy

Swearing in ceremony is: Tuesday, January 20, 2009 at 1:00 PM at U.S Capitol in Washington, DC

A

Hi,

Some random questions:

1) What do you think about Laura Bush?

2) Bush, Cheney, Karl Rove and many GOP’ers are praising Obama. Do you think this is genuine or they are just playing along?

3) Will India play a role in the Obama administration, especially with regards to Pakistan?

Thanks!

Best wishes to all of you and many blessings!

Denise

Answering Readers’ Questions…

Selling your stock — Fannie Mae — The Answer

The person who asked me about this stock recently bought it and wanted to know about this stock and Freddie Mac. Unfortunately, I did not have data for Freddie Mac. Most stocks are in my data base but not all. So here goes about Fannie Mae:

The bad aspects happening to this company are actually only beginning. With Uranus making a transiting opposition to the companies Pluto in the 12th house of loss, there will be major restructuring which we are starting to see. Pluto is slow moving and going back and forth as it retrogrades.

Right now transiting Uranus is retrograde, meaning it’s moving away from the opposition to the company’s Pluto in the 12th, but it will come back! And another major hit will take place in March of 2009.

This is only the beginning with transiting Uranus opposing natal Uranus later, then the company’s natal Venus, then Mercury. There will be major changes behind the scenes and a lot of loss as things are restructured. After all this happens the company (if it survives) will be almost unrecognizable version of what it once was.  

I honestly can’t give a good time to sell this stock as there are so many bad aspects and when a window seems to open seeming a tiny bit there are other bad aspects to offset it. I’d use your own intuition as there really isn’t going to be any opportune time to sell for a very long time and it’s not certain this institution will survive in the long term.

If you don’t have much tied up in it then perhaps waiting it out until May of 2011 would be OK. As long as you don’t have much to loose here.

If it were me I would get rid of it when the Sun goes over the first house Monday October 8 of this year because all these bad aspects might very well destroy this institution. I don’t know if you’ll make a profit or even break even, as this is the titanic and you hopped on as it’s burning!

I’m sorry to give the bad news.

Best wishes and good luck! Trust your intuition, that’s the best thing in this situation.

Selling your stock — Fannie Mae — The Answer

Saving the Economy…

As I said in an earlier post we are seeing the tip of the iceberg in terms of the financial crisis. I was heartened to hear that congress was working in bipartisan fashion to solve this problem. Obviously, the Bush administrations plan of no oversight is not a good idea, but we do need to do something about this impending disaster.

But my panic light went on today when talks broke down after McCain showed up, not that he was solely responsible, but he did use the crisis to try to look like a hero when he clearly doesn’t have any answers or even knowledge of what’s going on. As I said in an earlier post McCain would plunge this country and the world into the worst depression ever (based on his aspects to the Dow Jones, and of course now that the world is interlinked all the markets would crash) and this couldn’t be more illuminated in just his slightest touch of involvement unraveling the talks. According to reports coming out McCain had nothing to say at the meeting, but obviously tried to use it politically.

And by the way the Republicans have caused this mess — a free market without rules isn’t free. Deregulation is what caused this. Deregulation or no regulation is China’s case has doesn’t work. We put regulations in place for formula after babies started dying when formula companies watered milk down. Babies died of malnutrition in this country, the US. This is exactly what happened in China just recently, but instead of water they used melamine to try to falsely boost the protein levels in tests.

Regulations are laws — like us the normal everyday citizens have to abide by, such as you can’t kill, steal or rape someone. No regulation is akin to abolishing punishment for criminals. Companies policing themselves has never worked, because it is not in their best interest, as we are seeing in this banking debacle.

So all of you who think the market will correct itself, that deregulation is good for the economy — here’s the result: global DEPRESSION! It may have worked in the short term for companys to be able to gobble each other up. We’ve seen the melt down of the music industry partially from this cannibalistic approach. That’s a whole other story and another article if anyone is interested.

But its safe to say cutting off all the arteries to your heart will eventually kill you.

Saving the Economy…

When to Sell WebMD… the answer

Right now transiting Neptune is going back and forth over the companies Sun in the 11th. Making for a lot of confusion and misinformation, even secrets. Transiting Uranus is now in the companies 12th house and hit it’s Venus (ruling assets in general and more specifically in this case, their image) in the spring of 07 this gave rise to instability behind the scenes. You may have seen a down turn in the stock at the time as something would have leaked out. Even earlier than that Neptune (starting back in 04) has been reeking havoc as it’s been passing through the 11th house. The company has not been living up to expectations for a while now, it has seen it’s hopes and dreams ebb away.

Pluto has just gone over the companies moon in Sagittarius in the 9th sextiling natal Mercury. The company most likely tried to restructure how they put information out into the world, perhaps changing their website or looking for a traditional way to publish information (via the publishing industry). It looks like there is a possibility that more traditional means of publishing will save them. Depending on when you bought this stock you’ve probably lost money over the past few years, seen wild fluctuations and been on edge. I’d say either October 9 or 10 of this year is the best time to sell. I’m sorry to say the more ideal days for selling fall on weekends. But this isn’t a bad time to do it.

Good Luck and use your intuition…

When to Sell WebMD… the answer

When to Sell Cisco… the answer

In mid-October, specifically the 16th there will be a transiting Jupiter conjunction to the companies stellium in Capricorn. The moon will be lighting this aspect up with a positive Trine from the Moon to the stellium and transiting Jupiter. Uranus will be retrograde in Pisces (in a way making an applying trine to the companies part of fortune) and will be far enough away from the companies Saturn in Aquarius to be safe. My only real concern is Pluto at 29 degrees making an applying inconjunction to the companies Pluto in the 12th. But I’m afraid waiting too long for this to pass would be a mistake. There’s enough positive stuff going on that day to look good as the Moon will be lighting up the stellium and transiting conjunction in Jupiter in the companies 5th house of speculation. 

With so many charts for this company it’s a little bit harder to give hard and fast information. But I will continue to work on this and amend anything I see as problematic.

Good luck and best wishes.

When to Sell Cisco… the answer